Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCore CPI (ex food and energy) MoM - May 2026
Core CPI (ex food and energy) MoM - May 2026
0.2% 96%
≤-0.3% <1%
-0.2% <1%
-0.1% <1%
$12,308 Vol.
$12,308 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
No
-0.2%
No
-0.1%
No
0.0%
No
0.1%
No
0.2%
Yes
0.3%
No
0.4%
No
0.5%
No
≥0.6%
No
0.2% 96%
≤-0.3% <1%
-0.2% <1%
-0.1% <1%
$12,308 Vol.
$12,308 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
$1,042 Vol.
No
-0.2%
$887 Vol.
No
-0.1%
$768 Vol.
No
0.0%
$639 Vol.
No
0.1%
$904 Vol.
No
0.2%
$2,740 Vol.
Yes
0.3%
$684 Vol.
No
0.4%
$1,107 Vol.
No
0.5%
$1,845 Vol.
No
≥0.6%
$1,693 Vol.
No
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: May 28, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Volume
$12,308Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 28, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports one month percent change in core inflation (all items less food and energy) to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$12,308Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 28, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent U.S. inflation data and nowcasts have anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% month-over-month rise in May 2026 core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components. April’s 0.4% print reflected passthrough from energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, but May figures show moderation in categories such as motor vehicle insurance, new vehicles, and household furnishings, offsetting gains in medical care and recreation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts aligned closely with this outcome at approximately 0.23%, while consensus forecasts had centered near 0.3%. With the Bureau of Labor Statistics release scheduled for June 10, the market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of confirmation, though any last-minute revisions to seasonal adjustments or shelter components could still alter the final print.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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