Recent Canadian labor market data, including a drop in the unemployment rate to 6.4% in July 2026 alongside a 75,100 gain in employment, underpin the 92.8% market-implied odds against the rate reaching its highest level since 2016 this year. Job growth has outpaced expectations in recent months, with the participation rate edging higher to 65.1% and the rate matching its lowest level in two years, while forecasts from sources like TD Economics and Vanguard project a year-end 2026 rate near 6.5%. These developments reflect stabilizing conditions after the 7.1% peak in September 2025, supported by resilient private-sector hiring despite broader economic slack. Potential upside risks to the rate include the effects of new U.S. tariffs effective in August and any renewed slowdown in GDP growth, though current momentum and Bank of Canada policy signals make a surge toward prior highs unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7% peluang
BARU
BARU
Feb 14, 2027
7% peluang
BARU
BARU
Feb 14, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Recent Canadian labor market data, including a drop in the unemployment rate to 6.4% in July 2026 alongside a 75,100 gain in employment, underpin the 92.8% market-implied odds against the rate reaching its highest level since 2016 this year. Job growth has outpaced expectations in recent months, with the participation rate edging higher to 65.1% and the rate matching its lowest level in two years, while forecasts from sources like TD Economics and Vanguard project a year-end 2026 rate near 6.5%. These developments reflect stabilizing conditions after the 7.1% peak in September 2025, supported by resilient private-sector hiring despite broader economic slack. Potential upside risks to the rate include the effects of new U.S. tariffs effective in August and any renewed slowdown in GDP growth, though current momentum and Bank of Canada policy signals make a surge toward prior highs unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Volume
$9,375Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 15, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Recent Canadian labor market data, including a drop in the unemployment rate to 6.4% in July 2026 alongside a 75,100 gain in employment, underpin the 92.8% market-implied odds against the rate reaching its highest level since 2016 this year. Job growth has outpaced expectations in recent months, with the participation rate edging higher to 65.1% and the rate matching its lowest level in two years, while forecasts from sources like TD Economics and Vanguard project a year-end 2026 rate near 6.5%. These developments reflect stabilizing conditions after the 7.1% peak in September 2025, supported by resilient private-sector hiring despite broader economic slack. Potential upside risks to the rate include the effects of new U.S. tariffs effective in August and any renewed slowdown in GDP growth, though current momentum and Bank of Canada policy signals make a surge toward prior highs unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Volume
$9,375Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 15, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Canadian labor market data, including a drop in the unemployment rate to 6.4% in July 2026 alongside a 75,100 gain in employment, underpin the 92.8% market-implied odds against the rate reaching its highest level since 2016 this year. Job growth has outpaced expectations in recent months, with the participation rate edging higher to 65.1% and the rate matching its lowest level in two years, while forecasts from sources like TD Economics and Vanguard project a year-end 2026 rate near 6.5%. These developments reflect stabilizing conditions after the 7.1% peak in September 2025, supported by resilient private-sector hiring despite broader economic slack. Potential upside risks to the rate include the effects of new U.S. tariffs effective in August and any renewed slowdown in GDP growth, though current momentum and Bank of Canada policy signals make a surge toward prior highs unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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