Discord's elevated market-implied odds for no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflect the absence of a public S-1 filing since its confidential January 2026 submission to the SEC, despite retaining Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Secondary-market trading continues to imply an enterprise value near $7 billion, well below the $15 billion private valuation from 2021, as revenue has roughly doubled to approximately $725 million amid persistent monetization challenges relative to user engagement. Traders are pricing modest closing market caps or outright delay because broader equity conditions and regulatory timelines favor caution ahead of the June deadline, with any public filing or revised target date serving as the next potential catalyst for repricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTidak IPO hingga 30 Juni 2026 78%
<15M 6.0%
15–20M 4.0%
25–30M 3.8%
$893,978 Vol.
$893,978 Vol.
<15M
6%
15–20M
4%
20–25M
1%
25–30M
4%
30M+
1%
Tidak IPO hingga 30 Juni 2026
78%
Tidak IPO hingga 30 Juni 2026 78%
<15M 6.0%
15–20M 4.0%
25–30M 3.8%
$893,978 Vol.
$893,978 Vol.
<15M
6%
15–20M
4%
20–25M
1%
25–30M
4%
30M+
1%
Tidak IPO hingga 30 Juni 2026
78%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Discord's elevated market-implied odds for no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflect the absence of a public S-1 filing since its confidential January 2026 submission to the SEC, despite retaining Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Secondary-market trading continues to imply an enterprise value near $7 billion, well below the $15 billion private valuation from 2021, as revenue has roughly doubled to approximately $725 million amid persistent monetization challenges relative to user engagement. Traders are pricing modest closing market caps or outright delay because broader equity conditions and regulatory timelines favor caution ahead of the June deadline, with any public filing or revised target date serving as the next potential catalyst for repricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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