Skip to main content
icon for FL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

FL-02 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

FL-02 Republican Primary Winner

Austin Rogers 78%

Keith Gross 16%

Evan Power 3.9%

Jim Norton 1.9%

Polymarket

$63,367 Vol.

Austin Rogers 78%

Keith Gross 16%

Evan Power 3.9%

Jim Norton 1.9%

Polymarket

$63,367 Vol.

icon for Austin Rogers

Austin Rogers

$29,279 Vol.

78%

icon for Keith Gross

Keith Gross

$23,432 Vol.

16%

icon for Evan Power

Evan Power

$4,390 Vol.

4%

icon for Jim Norton

Jim Norton

$2,662 Vol.

2%

icon for Luke Murphy

Luke Murphy

$1,105 Vol.

1%

icon for Nick Lewis

Nick Lewis

$1,450 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lee Jones

Lee Jones

$537 Vol.

<1%

icon for Audie Rowell

Audie Rowell

$511 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Austin Rogers holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the Florida 2nd Congressional District Republican primary, driven by his profile as a longtime Panama City resident and former general counsel to U.S. Senator Rick Scott. Recent internal polling from his campaign shows him narrowly ahead of attorney Keith Gross in a race that has narrowed to these two frontrunners ahead of the August 18 primary. Gross leads in fundraising but faces headwinds from an attack ad—linked to a PAC connected to Rogers’ relatives—highlighting his prior Democratic affiliation and personal background, which was later withdrawn. Lower-polling candidates including Evan Power, Jim Norton, and others trail significantly, reflecting limited momentum in a field where recent campaign developments and voter surveys have concentrated support around the top two contenders.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$63,367
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Austin Rogers holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the Florida 2nd Congressional District Republican primary, driven by his profile as a longtime Panama City resident and former general counsel to U.S. Senator Rick Scott. Recent internal polling from his campaign shows him narrowly ahead of attorney Keith Gross in a race that has narrowed to these two frontrunners ahead of the August 18 primary. Gross leads in fundraising but faces headwinds from an attack ad—linked to a PAC connected to Rogers’ relatives—highlighting his prior Democratic affiliation and personal background, which was later withdrawn. Lower-polling candidates including Evan Power, Jim Norton, and others trail significantly, reflecting limited momentum in a field where recent campaign developments and voter surveys have concentrated support around the top two contenders.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$63,367
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Terkait

icon for Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

97%
icon for Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee?

Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee?

98%
icon for Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?

Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?

57%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-02 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Austin Rogers" di 78%, diikuti oleh "Keith Gross" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 78¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-02 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $63.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 20, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-02 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-02 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Austin Rogers" di 78%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Keith Gross" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-02 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.