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Politik·Primer

FL-22 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-22 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

FL-22 Republican Primary Winner

Michael Carbonara 49%

Belinda Keiser 23%

David Burck 18.9%

Casey Askar 9.4%

Polymarket

$64,247 Vol.

Michael Carbonara 49%

Belinda Keiser 23%

David Burck 18.9%

Casey Askar 9.4%

Polymarket

$64,247 Vol.

Michael Carbonara

$35,852 Vol.

49%

Belinda Keiser

$9,889 Vol.

23%

David Burck

$10,851 Vol.

19%

Casey Askar

$5,886 Vol.

9%

Richard Evans

$602 Vol.

<1%

Terri Hasdorff

$436 Vol.

<1%

Michael Thompson

$732 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The closely contested Republican primary for Florida’s 22nd Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, reflects substantial uncertainty among traders, with Michael Carbonara holding a narrow lead in market pricing ahead of Belinda Keiser, David Burck, and Casey Askar. Recent polling shows the top three candidates locked in a statistical tie in the low teens amid more than 40 percent undecided voters, driven by heavy spending, overlapping appeals on the economy, immigration, and public safety, and the open seat created by redistricting. Club for Growth’s endorsement of Carbonara and its attacks on Askar represent the most recent catalyst, while candidates’ fundraising totals and shifting attacks on prior party affiliations continue to shape momentum in this multi-candidate field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$64,247
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The closely contested Republican primary for Florida’s 22nd Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, reflects substantial uncertainty among traders, with Michael Carbonara holding a narrow lead in market pricing ahead of Belinda Keiser, David Burck, and Casey Askar. Recent polling shows the top three candidates locked in a statistical tie in the low teens amid more than 40 percent undecided voters, driven by heavy spending, overlapping appeals on the economy, immigration, and public safety, and the open seat created by redistricting. Club for Growth’s endorsement of Carbonara and its attacks on Askar represent the most recent catalyst, while candidates’ fundraising totals and shifting attacks on prior party affiliations continue to shape momentum in this multi-candidate field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$64,247
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-22 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Michael Carbonara" di 49%, diikuti oleh "Belinda Keiser" di 23%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 49¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-22 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $64.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 23, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-22 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-22 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Michael Carbonara" di 49%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Belinda Keiser" di 23%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-22 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.