Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family, including recent releases like Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos variants, drives current trader sentiment by delivering leading scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, science, and humanities. As of mid-August 2026, Claude models top multiple leaderboards with results ranging from 55.5% to 64.7% depending on evaluation settings such as adaptive reasoning, tool use, and max effort, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini 3 models through improved long-context handling and multidisciplinary reasoning. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on frontier capabilities, sustains momentum, while potential late-2026 model updates or benchmark revisions remain key swing factors for the year’s highest Claude score.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$60,637 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
86%
60%+
59%
65%+
16%
70%+
9%
75%+
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$60,637 Vol.
55%+
$15,464 Vol.
86%
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$24,244 Vol.
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65%+
$17,354 Vol.
16%
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$2,555 Vol.
9%
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$1,021 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family, including recent releases like Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos variants, drives current trader sentiment by delivering leading scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, science, and humanities. As of mid-August 2026, Claude models top multiple leaderboards with results ranging from 55.5% to 64.7% depending on evaluation settings such as adaptive reasoning, tool use, and max effort, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini 3 models through improved long-context handling and multidisciplinary reasoning. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on frontier capabilities, sustains momentum, while potential late-2026 model updates or benchmark revisions remain key swing factors for the year’s highest Claude score.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Volume
$60,637Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family, including recent releases like Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos variants, drives current trader sentiment by delivering leading scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, science, and humanities. As of mid-August 2026, Claude models top multiple leaderboards with results ranging from 55.5% to 64.7% depending on evaluation settings such as adaptive reasoning, tool use, and max effort, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini 3 models through improved long-context handling and multidisciplinary reasoning. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on frontier capabilities, sustains momentum, while potential late-2026 model updates or benchmark revisions remain key swing factors for the year’s highest Claude score.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$60,637Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family, including recent releases like Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos variants, drives current trader sentiment by delivering leading scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, science, and humanities. As of mid-August 2026, Claude models top multiple leaderboards with results ranging from 55.5% to 64.7% depending on evaluation settings such as adaptive reasoning, tool use, and max effort, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini 3 models through improved long-context handling and multidisciplinary reasoning. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on frontier capabilities, sustains momentum, while potential late-2026 model updates or benchmark revisions remain key swing factors for the year’s highest Claude score.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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