Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin, Texas, points to a daily high near 99°F on August 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly flow, positioning the 98-99°F bin as the market leader. This aligns with climatological August maxima around 94-97°F while reflecting a modest cooling trend after early-month heat that produced triple-digit readings. Key variables include limited moisture return that could cap afternoon temperatures and weak steering patterns favoring subsidence rather than stronger convective inhibition. Updated model runs and surface observations through early August 5 continue to support this range, though small shifts in dewpoint or cloud cover could tip probabilities toward the adjacent 100-101°F outcome before official verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on August 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 5?
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 2.4%
BARU
$10,012 Vol.
BARU
$10,012 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
30%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 2.4%
BARU
$10,012 Vol.
BARU
$10,012 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
89°F or below
$684 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$716 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$605 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$351 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,478 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$3,314 Vol.
52%
100-101°F
$794 Vol.
30%
102-103°F
$728 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$642 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$415 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin, Texas, points to a daily high near 99°F on August 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly flow, positioning the 98-99°F bin as the market leader. This aligns with climatological August maxima around 94-97°F while reflecting a modest cooling trend after early-month heat that produced triple-digit readings. Key variables include limited moisture return that could cap afternoon temperatures and weak steering patterns favoring subsidence rather than stronger convective inhibition. Updated model runs and surface observations through early August 5 continue to support this range, though small shifts in dewpoint or cloud cover could tip probabilities toward the adjacent 100-101°F outcome before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,012Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin, Texas, points to a daily high near 99°F on August 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly flow, positioning the 98-99°F bin as the market leader. This aligns with climatological August maxima around 94-97°F while reflecting a modest cooling trend after early-month heat that produced triple-digit readings. Key variables include limited moisture return that could cap afternoon temperatures and weak steering patterns favoring subsidence rather than stronger convective inhibition. Updated model runs and surface observations through early August 5 continue to support this range, though small shifts in dewpoint or cloud cover could tip probabilities toward the adjacent 100-101°F outcome before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,012Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin, Texas, points to a daily high near 99°F on August 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly flow, positioning the 98-99°F bin as the market leader. This aligns with climatological August maxima around 94-97°F while reflecting a modest cooling trend after early-month heat that produced triple-digit readings. Key variables include limited moisture return that could cap afternoon temperatures and weak steering patterns favoring subsidence rather than stronger convective inhibition. Updated model runs and surface observations through early August 5 continue to support this range, though small shifts in dewpoint or cloud cover could tip probabilities toward the adjacent 100-101°F outcome before official verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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