Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models point to a Beijing high near 27 °C on May 18 under light southerly flow and mostly overcast skies, which explains why the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes hold the clearest trader backing at 31.5 % and 29.0 %. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and weak advection; historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26 °C, so any slight increase in insolation or shift in boundary-layer mixing could push readings toward 28 °C. Key resolution hinges on the final official observation at Beijing Capital International Airport, where even small revisions in the afternoon temperature trace can separate the two leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
28°C 32%
27°C 31%
26°C 17%
25°C 14%
BARU
$17,610 Vol.
BARU
$17,610 Vol.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
17%
27°C
31%
28°C
32%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
27°C 31%
26°C 17%
25°C 14%
BARU
$17,610 Vol.
BARU
$17,610 Vol.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$5,298 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,183 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,545 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,622 Vol.
14%
26°C
$1,392 Vol.
17%
27°C
$999 Vol.
31%
28°C
$718 Vol.
32%
29°C
$578 Vol.
5%
30°C
$350 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,058 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$978 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models point to a Beijing high near 27 °C on May 18 under light southerly flow and mostly overcast skies, which explains why the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes hold the clearest trader backing at 31.5 % and 29.0 %. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and weak advection; historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26 °C, so any slight increase in insolation or shift in boundary-layer mixing could push readings toward 28 °C. Key resolution hinges on the final official observation at Beijing Capital International Airport, where even small revisions in the afternoon temperature trace can separate the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$17,610Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models point to a Beijing high near 27 °C on May 18 under light southerly flow and mostly overcast skies, which explains why the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes hold the clearest trader backing at 31.5 % and 29.0 %. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and weak advection; historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26 °C, so any slight increase in insolation or shift in boundary-layer mixing could push readings toward 28 °C. Key resolution hinges on the final official observation at Beijing Capital International Airport, where even small revisions in the afternoon temperature trace can separate the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,610Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models point to a Beijing high near 27 °C on May 18 under light southerly flow and mostly overcast skies, which explains why the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes hold the clearest trader backing at 31.5 % and 29.0 %. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and weak advection; historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26 °C, so any slight increase in insolation or shift in boundary-layer mixing could push readings toward 28 °C. Key resolution hinges on the final official observation at Beijing Capital International Airport, where even small revisions in the afternoon temperature trace can separate the two leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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