Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional meteorological models show closely matched probabilities for a daily maximum of 26°C or 27°C in Chongqing on May 19, reflecting modest uncertainty in the steering flow and boundary-layer moisture. Subtropical high-pressure ridges and southwesterly monsoon influences are expected to deliver above-average warmth for mid-May, yet variable cloud cover and localized precipitation could cap or enhance surface heating by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places typical May highs near 25–28°C, providing context for the market’s tight clustering around these central outcomes while underscoring how small shifts in model bias or observational updates can alter implied probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 19?
26°C 21%
27°C 19%
25°C 15%
24°C 12%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
15%
26°C
21%
27°C
19%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
26°C 21%
27°C 19%
25°C 15%
24°C 12%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
15%
26°C
21%
27°C
19%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKRecent ensemble forecasts from global and regional meteorological models show closely matched probabilities for a daily maximum of 26°C or 27°C in Chongqing on May 19, reflecting modest uncertainty in the steering flow and boundary-layer moisture. Subtropical high-pressure ridges and southwesterly monsoon influences are expected to deliver above-average warmth for mid-May, yet variable cloud cover and localized precipitation could cap or enhance surface heating by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places typical May highs near 25–28°C, providing context for the market’s tight clustering around these central outcomes while underscoring how small shifts in model bias or observational updates can alter implied probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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