Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place today's maximum temperature near 34°C in urban areas under sunny periods with isolated showers, following the passage of Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that drove record heat earlier in the week. Post-storm atmospheric adjustments, including moderated subsidence and slightly increased moisture, have tempered extreme highs compared to the 36.9°C official reading on August 9–10. Model consensus and August climatology support a narrow peak around 33–34°C, with humidity and localized urban heat-island effects adding minor variability; traders have priced this outlook heavily into the leading outcomes while assigning low probability to outliers beyond the forecast envelope.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 57%
34°C 35%
32°C 10%
35°C 3%
$56,275 Vol.
$56,275 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
10%
33°C
57%
34°C
35%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
34°C 35%
32°C 10%
35°C 3%
$56,275 Vol.
$56,275 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
10%
33°C
57%
34°C
35%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place today's maximum temperature near 34°C in urban areas under sunny periods with isolated showers, following the passage of Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that drove record heat earlier in the week. Post-storm atmospheric adjustments, including moderated subsidence and slightly increased moisture, have tempered extreme highs compared to the 36.9°C official reading on August 9–10. Model consensus and August climatology support a narrow peak around 33–34°C, with humidity and localized urban heat-island effects adding minor variability; traders have priced this outlook heavily into the leading outcomes while assigning low probability to outliers beyond the forecast envelope.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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