Official weather station observations, including from Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) and downtown sites, recorded a daily maximum of 76°F on August 12, 2026, under sunny conditions with moderating marine influence and partial cloud cover following earlier heat. This aligned precisely with the 76-77°F bin, producing the 100% market-implied probability as traders incorporated real-time NWS and airport data into positions. Historical August averages near 84°F and recent forecasts of upper 70s to low 80s provided context, but actual readings reflected localized cooling. Discrepancies could arise only from rare station-specific revisions or alternative measurement protocols, though such adjustments remain unlikely given consistent multi-site verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$74,079 Vol.
$74,079 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$74,079 Vol.
$74,079 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official weather station observations, including from Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) and downtown sites, recorded a daily maximum of 76°F on August 12, 2026, under sunny conditions with moderating marine influence and partial cloud cover following earlier heat. This aligned precisely with the 76-77°F bin, producing the 100% market-implied probability as traders incorporated real-time NWS and airport data into positions. Historical August averages near 84°F and recent forecasts of upper 70s to low 80s provided context, but actual readings reflected localized cooling. Discrepancies could arise only from rare station-specific revisions or alternative measurement protocols, though such adjustments remain unlikely given consistent multi-site verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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