Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow as the dominant drivers holding coastal Los Angeles temperatures in check for August 13, favoring a daily high near 74–77 °F. These conditions advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific, promoting low stratus and limiting afternoon heating despite seasonal norms around 84 °F. Updated model runs show the inversion remaining intact through the day, with only modest warming possible if the layer thins later than expected. Traders have concentrated probability on the 74–77 °F bins, reflecting alignment between official forecasts and historical analogs for similar late-summer marine regimes, while assigning low odds to excursions above 78 °F absent a rapid pattern shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 13?
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 5%
$20,616 Vol.
$20,616 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 5%
$20,616 Vol.
$20,616 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow as the dominant drivers holding coastal Los Angeles temperatures in check for August 13, favoring a daily high near 74–77 °F. These conditions advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific, promoting low stratus and limiting afternoon heating despite seasonal norms around 84 °F. Updated model runs show the inversion remaining intact through the day, with only modest warming possible if the layer thins later than expected. Traders have concentrated probability on the 74–77 °F bins, reflecting alignment between official forecasts and historical analogs for similar late-summer marine regimes, while assigning low odds to excursions above 78 °F absent a rapid pattern shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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