Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a daytime maximum of 16–17°C for Munich, positioning these thresholds as the clear market leaders at combined implied probabilities above 70%. This outlook reflects moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, consistent with the cool anomaly that kept yesterday’s high at just 13°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–19°C from DWD long-term normals. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, with resolution hinging on the official Deutscher Wetterdienst reading at Munich Airport; any late-day clearing or stronger southerly advection could still nudge the peak toward 18°C, though current guidance assigns that outcome low probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 52%
17°C 24%
15°C 16%
18°C 3.6%
$20,753 Vol.
$20,753 Vol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
16%
16°C
52%
17°C
24%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 52%
17°C 24%
15°C 16%
18°C 3.6%
$20,753 Vol.
$20,753 Vol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
$562 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,733 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,927 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,864 Vol.
16%
16°C
$2,228 Vol.
52%
17°C
$2,446 Vol.
24%
18°C
$1,579 Vol.
4%
19°C
$1,375 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,474 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$2,443 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a daytime maximum of 16–17°C for Munich, positioning these thresholds as the clear market leaders at combined implied probabilities above 70%. This outlook reflects moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, consistent with the cool anomaly that kept yesterday’s high at just 13°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–19°C from DWD long-term normals. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, with resolution hinging on the official Deutscher Wetterdienst reading at Munich Airport; any late-day clearing or stronger southerly advection could still nudge the peak toward 18°C, though current guidance assigns that outcome low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$20,753Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a daytime maximum of 16–17°C for Munich, positioning these thresholds as the clear market leaders at combined implied probabilities above 70%. This outlook reflects moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, consistent with the cool anomaly that kept yesterday’s high at just 13°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–19°C from DWD long-term normals. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, with resolution hinging on the official Deutscher Wetterdienst reading at Munich Airport; any late-day clearing or stronger southerly advection could still nudge the peak toward 18°C, though current guidance assigns that outcome low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,753Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a daytime maximum of 16–17°C for Munich, positioning these thresholds as the clear market leaders at combined implied probabilities above 70%. This outlook reflects moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, consistent with the cool anomaly that kept yesterday’s high at just 13°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–19°C from DWD long-term normals. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, with resolution hinging on the official Deutscher Wetterdienst reading at Munich Airport; any late-day clearing or stronger southerly advection could still nudge the peak toward 18°C, though current guidance assigns that outcome low probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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