Recent warm-air advection driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with Sharav winds, has elevated surface temperatures across central Israel ahead of May 17. Israel Meteorological Service guidance already signals a significant rise to 32 °C on that date, while ensemble forecasts from global models show potential for further intensification if subsidence strengthens and boundary-layer mixing remains limited. These conditions place the probability of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 35 °C well above seasonal norms for mid-May, when long-term averages near 28 °C. Updated model runs issued in the past 48 hours have reinforced this warm bias, sustaining trader confidence in the highest-temperature outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 80%
34°C 15%
33°C 5.3%
32°C 3.2%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
80%
35°C or higher 80%
34°C 15%
33°C 5.3%
32°C 3.2%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$1,714 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$677 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$591 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$597 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$454 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$268 Vol.
1%
31°C
$259 Vol.
1%
32°C
$727 Vol.
3%
33°C
$410 Vol.
5%
34°C
$250 Vol.
15%
35°C or higher
$456 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent warm-air advection driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with Sharav winds, has elevated surface temperatures across central Israel ahead of May 17. Israel Meteorological Service guidance already signals a significant rise to 32 °C on that date, while ensemble forecasts from global models show potential for further intensification if subsidence strengthens and boundary-layer mixing remains limited. These conditions place the probability of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 35 °C well above seasonal norms for mid-May, when long-term averages near 28 °C. Updated model runs issued in the past 48 hours have reinforced this warm bias, sustaining trader confidence in the highest-temperature outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,403Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent warm-air advection driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with Sharav winds, has elevated surface temperatures across central Israel ahead of May 17. Israel Meteorological Service guidance already signals a significant rise to 32 °C on that date, while ensemble forecasts from global models show potential for further intensification if subsidence strengthens and boundary-layer mixing remains limited. These conditions place the probability of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 35 °C well above seasonal norms for mid-May, when long-term averages near 28 °C. Updated model runs issued in the past 48 hours have reinforced this warm bias, sustaining trader confidence in the highest-temperature outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,403Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent warm-air advection driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with Sharav winds, has elevated surface temperatures across central Israel ahead of May 17. Israel Meteorological Service guidance already signals a significant rise to 32 °C on that date, while ensemble forecasts from global models show potential for further intensification if subsidence strengthens and boundary-layer mixing remains limited. These conditions place the probability of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 35 °C well above seasonal norms for mid-May, when long-term averages near 28 °C. Updated model runs issued in the past 48 hours have reinforced this warm bias, sustaining trader confidence in the highest-temperature outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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