Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance and 48-hour model runs point to a mild spring pattern over the Northeast, with southerly flow advecting warmer air and mostly clear skies favoring New York City highs in the low 80s. This drives the tight market clustering around the 80–83°F outcomes, reflecting modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Subtle variations in simulated cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing among ensemble members create the narrow spread separating the leading 82–83°F bin from nearby 80–81°F and 84–85°F possibilities, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts just one day before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on May 18?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 18?
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 11%
BARU
$17,834 Vol.
BARU
$17,834 Vol.
May 18, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
3%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 11%
BARU
$17,834 Vol.
BARU
$17,834 Vol.
May 18, 2026
69°F or below
$777 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,100 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$3,508 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,879 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$2,842 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$1,716 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$660 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$923 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$2,019 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$551 Vol.
7%
88°F or higher
$1,895 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance and 48-hour model runs point to a mild spring pattern over the Northeast, with southerly flow advecting warmer air and mostly clear skies favoring New York City highs in the low 80s. This drives the tight market clustering around the 80–83°F outcomes, reflecting modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Subtle variations in simulated cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing among ensemble members create the narrow spread separating the leading 82–83°F bin from nearby 80–81°F and 84–85°F possibilities, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts just one day before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$17,834Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance and 48-hour model runs point to a mild spring pattern over the Northeast, with southerly flow advecting warmer air and mostly clear skies favoring New York City highs in the low 80s. This drives the tight market clustering around the 80–83°F outcomes, reflecting modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Subtle variations in simulated cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing among ensemble members create the narrow spread separating the leading 82–83°F bin from nearby 80–81°F and 84–85°F possibilities, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts just one day before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,834Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent National Weather Service ensemble guidance and 48-hour model runs point to a mild spring pattern over the Northeast, with southerly flow advecting warmer air and mostly clear skies favoring New York City highs in the low 80s. This drives the tight market clustering around the 80–83°F outcomes, reflecting modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Subtle variations in simulated cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing among ensemble members create the narrow spread separating the leading 82–83°F bin from nearby 80–81°F and 84–85°F possibilities, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts just one day before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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