Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show mostly cloudy skies and light winds across Paris on May 17, limiting solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum temperature near 16°C. This atmospheric setup, with reduced insolation and minimal warm-air advection, has positioned the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions under a weak pressure gradient reinforce this consensus, though any unexpected afternoon clearing could allow modest warming toward 17°C. Official readings from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market, with updated model runs continuing to guide trader assessments of these tight temperature brackets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 59%
15°C 31%
17°C 7%
14°C 2.6%
$65,466 Vol.
$65,466 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
31%
16°C
59%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
15°C 31%
17°C 7%
14°C 2.6%
$65,466 Vol.
$65,466 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$5,921 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$8,363 Vol.
3%
15°C
$7,707 Vol.
31%
16°C
$8,977 Vol.
59%
17°C
$7,943 Vol.
7%
18°C
$6,545 Vol.
1%
19°C
$10,913 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$3,838 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show mostly cloudy skies and light winds across Paris on May 17, limiting solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum temperature near 16°C. This atmospheric setup, with reduced insolation and minimal warm-air advection, has positioned the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions under a weak pressure gradient reinforce this consensus, though any unexpected afternoon clearing could allow modest warming toward 17°C. Official readings from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market, with updated model runs continuing to guide trader assessments of these tight temperature brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$65,466Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show mostly cloudy skies and light winds across Paris on May 17, limiting solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum temperature near 16°C. This atmospheric setup, with reduced insolation and minimal warm-air advection, has positioned the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions under a weak pressure gradient reinforce this consensus, though any unexpected afternoon clearing could allow modest warming toward 17°C. Official readings from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market, with updated model runs continuing to guide trader assessments of these tight temperature brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$65,466Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show mostly cloudy skies and light winds across Paris on May 17, limiting solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum temperature near 16°C. This atmospheric setup, with reduced insolation and minimal warm-air advection, has positioned the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions under a weak pressure gradient reinforce this consensus, though any unexpected afternoon clearing could allow modest warming toward 17°C. Official readings from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market, with updated model runs continuing to guide trader assessments of these tight temperature brackets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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