Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul point to a typical mid-May diurnal warming cycle under transitional spring conditions, with ensemble models converging on a daily maximum in the 23–25 °C range. Light southerly flow ahead of a weak trough is expected to advect modestly warmer air, while variable cloud cover and light winds will limit extreme surface heating. Historical climatology places May 19 averages near 23 °C, and current guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky anomaly that would push readings to 26 °C or above. Traders are therefore weighting the closely bunched 23–25 °C outcomes, awaiting the final 48-hour model runs and local observations that will determine the precise peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul on May 19?
25°C 25%
26°C 24%
22°C 24%
23°C 24%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 25%
26°C 24%
22°C 24%
23°C 24%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul point to a typical mid-May diurnal warming cycle under transitional spring conditions, with ensemble models converging on a daily maximum in the 23–25 °C range. Light southerly flow ahead of a weak trough is expected to advect modestly warmer air, while variable cloud cover and light winds will limit extreme surface heating. Historical climatology places May 19 averages near 23 °C, and current guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky anomaly that would push readings to 26 °C or above. Traders are therefore weighting the closely bunched 23–25 °C outcomes, awaiting the final 48-hour model runs and local observations that will determine the precise peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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