Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently favor a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow, positioning that outcome as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support a modest above-average reading that also sustains 27°C at 39.5%. Traders continue to monitor final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in wind or moisture that could adjust the exact peak by one degree. Resolution depends on the official observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
27°C 45%
28°C 44%
29°C 3.8%
30°C 1.4%
$90,268 Vol.
$90,268 Vol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
45%
28°C
44%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 44%
29°C 3.8%
30°C 1.4%
$90,268 Vol.
$90,268 Vol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,054 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,253 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,179 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$17,068 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$14,933 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$11,595 Vol.
45%
28°C
$6,382 Vol.
44%
29°C
$8,248 Vol.
4%
30°C
$8,206 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$5,073 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently favor a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow, positioning that outcome as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support a modest above-average reading that also sustains 27°C at 39.5%. Traders continue to monitor final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in wind or moisture that could adjust the exact peak by one degree. Resolution depends on the official observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$90,268Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently favor a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow, positioning that outcome as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support a modest above-average reading that also sustains 27°C at 39.5%. Traders continue to monitor final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in wind or moisture that could adjust the exact peak by one degree. Resolution depends on the official observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$90,268Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently favor a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow, positioning that outcome as the clear market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support a modest above-average reading that also sustains 27°C at 39.5%. Traders continue to monitor final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any shifts in wind or moisture that could adjust the exact peak by one degree. Resolution depends on the official observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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