Dominant market positioning on 36°C reflects Central Weather Administration and model guidance for Taipei on August 12, 2026, under persistent Pacific High pressure that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating typical of peak summer. Historical August maxima often reach 34–36°C, with urban heat island effects and high humidity amplifying peaks; recent days have shown similar conditions without significant cooling from typhoon activity or frontal passages. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to 37°C or higher, acknowledging forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from localized showers or timing of peak insolation. A shift in steering patterns or unexpected convective development could lower the daily maximum below 36°C, while sustained clear conditions might push it higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on August 12?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 12?
36°C 95%
37°C 6%
39°C or higher <1%
38°C <1%
$39,100 Vol.
$39,100 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
95%
37°C
6%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 95%
37°C 6%
39°C or higher <1%
38°C <1%
$39,100 Vol.
$39,100 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
29°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,558 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,715 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,510 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$6,562 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$6,748 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$7,195 Vol.
95%
37°C
$3,115 Vol.
6%
38°C
$2,362 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$3,513 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Dominant market positioning on 36°C reflects Central Weather Administration and model guidance for Taipei on August 12, 2026, under persistent Pacific High pressure that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating typical of peak summer. Historical August maxima often reach 34–36°C, with urban heat island effects and high humidity amplifying peaks; recent days have shown similar conditions without significant cooling from typhoon activity or frontal passages. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to 37°C or higher, acknowledging forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from localized showers or timing of peak insolation. A shift in steering patterns or unexpected convective development could lower the daily maximum below 36°C, while sustained clear conditions might push it higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$39,100Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Dominant market positioning on 36°C reflects Central Weather Administration and model guidance for Taipei on August 12, 2026, under persistent Pacific High pressure that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating typical of peak summer. Historical August maxima often reach 34–36°C, with urban heat island effects and high humidity amplifying peaks; recent days have shown similar conditions without significant cooling from typhoon activity or frontal passages. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to 37°C or higher, acknowledging forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from localized showers or timing of peak insolation. A shift in steering patterns or unexpected convective development could lower the daily maximum below 36°C, while sustained clear conditions might push it higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,100Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dominant market positioning on 36°C reflects Central Weather Administration and model guidance for Taipei on August 12, 2026, under persistent Pacific High pressure that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating typical of peak summer. Historical August maxima often reach 34–36°C, with urban heat island effects and high humidity amplifying peaks; recent days have shown similar conditions without significant cooling from typhoon activity or frontal passages. Trader consensus assigns minimal probability to 37°C or higher, acknowledging forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from localized showers or timing of peak insolation. A shift in steering patterns or unexpected convective development could lower the daily maximum below 36°C, while sustained clear conditions might push it higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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