Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Tokyo’s August 13 maximum near 28–29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Trader consensus on these closely matched outcomes reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the strength of any sea-breeze front, each capable of shifting the peak by 1–2 °C. Typical mid-August humidity of 70–80 % combined with urban heat-island retention sets a baseline near 28 °C, while stronger convective activity or enhanced onshore flow would favor the lower side. Official resolution depends on verified JMA station observations, underscoring how small-scale meteorological variables drive the narrow probability spread.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
28°C 35%
29°C 28%
27°C 21%
30°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
21%
28°C
35%
29°C
28%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 35%
29°C 28%
27°C 21%
30°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$632 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$308 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,123 Vol.
6%
27°C
$1,393 Vol.
21%
28°C
$1,677 Vol.
35%
29°C
$921 Vol.
28%
30°C
$581 Vol.
11%
31°C
$675 Vol.
5%
32°C
$698 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$1,698 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Tokyo’s August 13 maximum near 28–29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Trader consensus on these closely matched outcomes reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the strength of any sea-breeze front, each capable of shifting the peak by 1–2 °C. Typical mid-August humidity of 70–80 % combined with urban heat-island retention sets a baseline near 28 °C, while stronger convective activity or enhanced onshore flow would favor the lower side. Official resolution depends on verified JMA station observations, underscoring how small-scale meteorological variables drive the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,878Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Tokyo’s August 13 maximum near 28–29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Trader consensus on these closely matched outcomes reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the strength of any sea-breeze front, each capable of shifting the peak by 1–2 °C. Typical mid-August humidity of 70–80 % combined with urban heat-island retention sets a baseline near 28 °C, while stronger convective activity or enhanced onshore flow would favor the lower side. Official resolution depends on verified JMA station observations, underscoring how small-scale meteorological variables drive the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,878Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Tokyo’s August 13 maximum near 28–29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Trader consensus on these closely matched outcomes reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the strength of any sea-breeze front, each capable of shifting the peak by 1–2 °C. Typical mid-August humidity of 70–80 % combined with urban heat-island retention sets a baseline near 28 °C, while stronger convective activity or enhanced onshore flow would favor the lower side. Official resolution depends on verified JMA station observations, underscoring how small-scale meteorological variables drive the narrow probability spread.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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