Alabama's congressional map for the 2026 elections, upheld by the Supreme Court after prior litigation over Voting Rights Act compliance, anchors expectations of two Democratic seats. The map maintains a safely Democratic District 7 held by Terri Sewell while rendering District 2 competitive but winnable for incumbent Shomari Figures amid its partisan lean and demographic makeup. Republican strength across the remaining five districts, reinforced by statewide voting patterns and limited crossover support, caps upside potential at one additional seat in favorable conditions. Recent results from the November 3 election, with Figures securing reelection, align trader consensus around exactly two Democratic holds rather than broader shifts or losses.