Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 21 most likely between 13–14°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring these outcomes. Persistent northwesterly flow off the North Sea, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers, has limited daytime heating and promoted overnight radiative cooling under moderate humidity levels near 70–80%. This setup matches climatological norms for late August, when average lows hover near 13°C at Schiphol, and current observations show temperatures already approaching 14°C early on the 21st without signs of stronger high-pressure subsidence that could drive further drops. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact minimum, with traders monitoring any shift in wind direction or clearing skies that could alter the overnight trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 21?
13°C 34%
12°C 2%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
34%
14°C
59%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 34%
12°C 2%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
$126 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$20 Vol.
1%
11°C
$28 Vol.
1%
12°C
$107 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$100 Vol.
59%
15°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$688 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$530 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$419 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 21 most likely between 13–14°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring these outcomes. Persistent northwesterly flow off the North Sea, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers, has limited daytime heating and promoted overnight radiative cooling under moderate humidity levels near 70–80%. This setup matches climatological norms for late August, when average lows hover near 13°C at Schiphol, and current observations show temperatures already approaching 14°C early on the 21st without signs of stronger high-pressure subsidence that could drive further drops. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact minimum, with traders monitoring any shift in wind direction or clearing skies that could alter the overnight trajectory.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,700Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 21 most likely between 13–14°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring these outcomes. Persistent northwesterly flow off the North Sea, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers, has limited daytime heating and promoted overnight radiative cooling under moderate humidity levels near 70–80%. This setup matches climatological norms for late August, when average lows hover near 13°C at Schiphol, and current observations show temperatures already approaching 14°C early on the 21st without signs of stronger high-pressure subsidence that could drive further drops. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact minimum, with traders monitoring any shift in wind direction or clearing skies that could alter the overnight trajectory.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,700Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 21 most likely between 13–14°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring these outcomes. Persistent northwesterly flow off the North Sea, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers, has limited daytime heating and promoted overnight radiative cooling under moderate humidity levels near 70–80%. This setup matches climatological norms for late August, when average lows hover near 13°C at Schiphol, and current observations show temperatures already approaching 14°C early on the 21st without signs of stronger high-pressure subsidence that could drive further drops. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact minimum, with traders monitoring any shift in wind direction or clearing skies that could alter the overnight trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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