Forecast consensus from ECMWF and regional models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 14 most likely between 13–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Overnight radiative cooling beneath limited cloud cover and modest dew points near 13 °C supports the market’s tight clustering around 12–13 °C implied probabilities, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would limit cooling and favor the 17 °C+ outcome. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing of any clearing after midnight and surface observations at Schiphol. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September minima near 11 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 14?
17°C or higher 55%
11°C 38%
16°C 36%
13°C 30%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
7°C or below
2%
8°C
13%
9°C
17%
10°C
17%
11°C
38%
12°C
30%
13°C
30%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
36%
17°C or higher
55%
17°C or higher 55%
11°C 38%
16°C 36%
13°C 30%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
13%
9°C
$0 Vol.
17%
10°C
$0 Vol.
17%
11°C
$0 Vol.
38%
12°C
$0 Vol.
30%
13°C
$0 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
36%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from ECMWF and regional models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 14 most likely between 13–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Overnight radiative cooling beneath limited cloud cover and modest dew points near 13 °C supports the market’s tight clustering around 12–13 °C implied probabilities, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would limit cooling and favor the 17 °C+ outcome. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing of any clearing after midnight and surface observations at Schiphol. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September minima near 11 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from ECMWF and regional models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 14 most likely between 13–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Overnight radiative cooling beneath limited cloud cover and modest dew points near 13 °C supports the market’s tight clustering around 12–13 °C implied probabilities, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would limit cooling and favor the 17 °C+ outcome. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing of any clearing after midnight and surface observations at Schiphol. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September minima near 11 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from ECMWF and regional models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 14 most likely between 13–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Overnight radiative cooling beneath limited cloud cover and modest dew points near 13 °C supports the market’s tight clustering around 12–13 °C implied probabilities, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind would limit cooling and favor the 17 °C+ outcome. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing of any clearing after midnight and surface observations at Schiphol. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September minima near 11 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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