Recent high-resolution forecasts from multiple models project clear skies and light northerly flow over Ankara on September 1, supporting an overnight minimum near 15–17 °C at the city’s ~900 m elevation. This aligns with the climatological early-September average low of ~14–16 °C and the current warm, stable high-pressure regime that has persisted through late August. Ensemble spread remains modest, yet the tail risk of a slightly stronger radiative cooling event or minor model shift sustains market-implied odds for 10 °C or below near 48 %. Warmer outcomes above 20 °C receive lower weight given the absence of advective warming signals in the latest guidance. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at the primary station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
10°C or below 94%
20°C or higher 53%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
10°C or below
94%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
37%
20°C or higher
53%
10°C or below 94%
20°C or higher 53%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
94%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
37%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution forecasts from multiple models project clear skies and light northerly flow over Ankara on September 1, supporting an overnight minimum near 15–17 °C at the city’s ~900 m elevation. This aligns with the climatological early-September average low of ~14–16 °C and the current warm, stable high-pressure regime that has persisted through late August. Ensemble spread remains modest, yet the tail risk of a slightly stronger radiative cooling event or minor model shift sustains market-implied odds for 10 °C or below near 48 %. Warmer outcomes above 20 °C receive lower weight given the absence of advective warming signals in the latest guidance. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution forecasts from multiple models project clear skies and light northerly flow over Ankara on September 1, supporting an overnight minimum near 15–17 °C at the city’s ~900 m elevation. This aligns with the climatological early-September average low of ~14–16 °C and the current warm, stable high-pressure regime that has persisted through late August. Ensemble spread remains modest, yet the tail risk of a slightly stronger radiative cooling event or minor model shift sustains market-implied odds for 10 °C or below near 48 %. Warmer outcomes above 20 °C receive lower weight given the absence of advective warming signals in the latest guidance. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution forecasts from multiple models project clear skies and light northerly flow over Ankara on September 1, supporting an overnight minimum near 15–17 °C at the city’s ~900 m elevation. This aligns with the climatological early-September average low of ~14–16 °C and the current warm, stable high-pressure regime that has persisted through late August. Ensemble spread remains modest, yet the tail risk of a slightly stronger radiative cooling event or minor model shift sustains market-implied odds for 10 °C or below near 48 %. Warmer outcomes above 20 °C receive lower weight given the absence of advective warming signals in the latest guidance. Resolution hinges on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at the primary station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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