**Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from scattered thunderstorms are keeping Beijing's overnight radiative cooling limited on August 21, supporting minimum temperatures in the 23–24°C range.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project lows near 22–25°C under these late-summer monsoon-influenced conditions, where moisture and urban heat retention prevent sharper drops typical of clearer nights. Historical August averages hover around 21°C, but the current pattern of elevated dew points and limited clear-sky windows has shifted trader consensus toward the higher end of the distribution. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and real-time observations will determine whether the low settles at 24°C or edges to 23°C, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
22°C 7%
21°C 2%
19°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
38%
24°C
63%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 7%
21°C 2%
19°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
$40 Vol.
1%
19°C
$127 Vol.
1%
20°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$92 Vol.
2%
22°C
$87 Vol.
7%
23°C
$444 Vol.
38%
24°C
$168 Vol.
63%
25°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from scattered thunderstorms are keeping Beijing's overnight radiative cooling limited on August 21, supporting minimum temperatures in the 23–24°C range.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project lows near 22–25°C under these late-summer monsoon-influenced conditions, where moisture and urban heat retention prevent sharper drops typical of clearer nights. Historical August averages hover around 21°C, but the current pattern of elevated dew points and limited clear-sky windows has shifted trader consensus toward the higher end of the distribution. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and real-time observations will determine whether the low settles at 24°C or edges to 23°C, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,416Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from scattered thunderstorms are keeping Beijing's overnight radiative cooling limited on August 21, supporting minimum temperatures in the 23–24°C range.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project lows near 22–25°C under these late-summer monsoon-influenced conditions, where moisture and urban heat retention prevent sharper drops typical of clearer nights. Historical August averages hover around 21°C, but the current pattern of elevated dew points and limited clear-sky windows has shifted trader consensus toward the higher end of the distribution. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and real-time observations will determine whether the low settles at 24°C or edges to 23°C, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,416Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from scattered thunderstorms are keeping Beijing's overnight radiative cooling limited on August 21, supporting minimum temperatures in the 23–24°C range.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project lows near 22–25°C under these late-summer monsoon-influenced conditions, where moisture and urban heat retention prevent sharper drops typical of clearer nights. Historical August averages hover around 21°C, but the current pattern of elevated dew points and limited clear-sky windows has shifted trader consensus toward the higher end of the distribution. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and real-time observations will determine whether the low settles at 24°C or edges to 23°C, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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