**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a September 12 overnight minimum near 29–31°C in Jeddah, consistent with the coastal Red Sea climate where high humidity and light winds limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show daily minima of 28–30°C under similar conditions, with no major synoptic changes expected to alter this pattern. Trader sentiment clusters around 31°C (48.5% implied probability) versus warmer outcomes like 34°C or higher (47.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and minor model spreads in dew-point and wind forecasts. Lower probabilities for 27°C or below align with the low likelihood of atypical cold advection this late in the season. Upcoming model updates from agencies like ECMWF or GFS will refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 12?
24°C or below 87%
34°C or higher 73%
31°C 48%
30°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
24°C or below
87%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
22%
30°C
40%
31°C
48%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C or higher
73%
24°C or below 87%
34°C or higher 73%
31°C 48%
30°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
87%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$3 Vol.
40%
31°C
$38 Vol.
48%
32°C
$0 Vol.
39%
33°C
$0 Vol.
39%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a September 12 overnight minimum near 29–31°C in Jeddah, consistent with the coastal Red Sea climate where high humidity and light winds limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show daily minima of 28–30°C under similar conditions, with no major synoptic changes expected to alter this pattern. Trader sentiment clusters around 31°C (48.5% implied probability) versus warmer outcomes like 34°C or higher (47.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and minor model spreads in dew-point and wind forecasts. Lower probabilities for 27°C or below align with the low likelihood of atypical cold advection this late in the season. Upcoming model updates from agencies like ECMWF or GFS will refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$40Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a September 12 overnight minimum near 29–31°C in Jeddah, consistent with the coastal Red Sea climate where high humidity and light winds limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show daily minima of 28–30°C under similar conditions, with no major synoptic changes expected to alter this pattern. Trader sentiment clusters around 31°C (48.5% implied probability) versus warmer outcomes like 34°C or higher (47.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and minor model spreads in dew-point and wind forecasts. Lower probabilities for 27°C or below align with the low likelihood of atypical cold advection this late in the season. Upcoming model updates from agencies like ECMWF or GFS will refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a September 12 overnight minimum near 29–31°C in Jeddah, consistent with the coastal Red Sea climate where high humidity and light winds limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show daily minima of 28–30°C under similar conditions, with no major synoptic changes expected to alter this pattern. Trader sentiment clusters around 31°C (48.5% implied probability) versus warmer outcomes like 34°C or higher (47.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and minor model spreads in dew-point and wind forecasts. Lower probabilities for 27°C or below align with the low likelihood of atypical cold advection this late in the season. Upcoming model updates from agencies like ECMWF or GFS will refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan