Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate overnight minimums in London on June 18 centering near 16–17°C, driven by a mild Atlantic airmass, moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing. These conditions have nudged market-implied odds toward 17°C (45%) and 16°C (39%), reflecting tight uncertainty around the exact low at the London City Airport station. Historical mid-June climatology at Heathrow averages closer to 12–13°C, so current guidance points to above-normal values; any last-minute increase in clear skies or northerly flow could drop readings toward 15°C, while persistent stratus would favor the higher end of the range. Updated model runs and official guidance issued within 24 hours of the observation window will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on June 18?
Lowest temperature in London on June 18?
17°C 45%
16°C 39%
18°C 5.5%
15°C 3.6%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
39%
17°C
45%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 45%
16°C 39%
18°C 5.5%
15°C 3.6%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$118 Vol.
1%
14°C
$40 Vol.
3%
15°C
$15 Vol.
4%
16°C
$195 Vol.
39%
17°C
$54 Vol.
45%
18°C
$79 Vol.
6%
19°C
$41 Vol.
2%
20°C
$65 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate overnight minimums in London on June 18 centering near 16–17°C, driven by a mild Atlantic airmass, moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing. These conditions have nudged market-implied odds toward 17°C (45%) and 16°C (39%), reflecting tight uncertainty around the exact low at the London City Airport station. Historical mid-June climatology at Heathrow averages closer to 12–13°C, so current guidance points to above-normal values; any last-minute increase in clear skies or northerly flow could drop readings toward 15°C, while persistent stratus would favor the higher end of the range. Updated model runs and official guidance issued within 24 hours of the observation window will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$617Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate overnight minimums in London on June 18 centering near 16–17°C, driven by a mild Atlantic airmass, moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing. These conditions have nudged market-implied odds toward 17°C (45%) and 16°C (39%), reflecting tight uncertainty around the exact low at the London City Airport station. Historical mid-June climatology at Heathrow averages closer to 12–13°C, so current guidance points to above-normal values; any last-minute increase in clear skies or northerly flow could drop readings toward 15°C, while persistent stratus would favor the higher end of the range. Updated model runs and official guidance issued within 24 hours of the observation window will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$617Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate overnight minimums in London on June 18 centering near 16–17°C, driven by a mild Atlantic airmass, moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing. These conditions have nudged market-implied odds toward 17°C (45%) and 16°C (39%), reflecting tight uncertainty around the exact low at the London City Airport station. Historical mid-June climatology at Heathrow averages closer to 12–13°C, so current guidance points to above-normal values; any last-minute increase in clear skies or northerly flow could drop readings toward 15°C, while persistent stratus would favor the higher end of the range. Updated model runs and official guidance issued within 24 hours of the observation window will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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