Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a fresher westerly airflow arriving across southern England, replacing the prior warm, humid air mass and supporting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible. This setup favors minimum temperatures near the 11–14 °C range for central London on 15 September, consistent with climatological averages around 11.6 °C yet tempered by the urban heat-island effect and lingering moisture that can limit the lowest readings. Trader consensus clustering at 15–16 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of clearing skies and potential model spread on boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on official Met Office observations at Heathrow or St James’s Park. Further model runs and the evening forecast update could refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour period close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on September 15?
Lowest temperature in London on September 15?
16°C 51%
15°C 27%
17°C 16%
14°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
27%
16°C
51%
17°C
16%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 51%
15°C 27%
17°C 16%
14°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
12°C
$71 Vol.
1%
13°C
$110 Vol.
3%
14°C
$110 Vol.
5%
15°C
$604 Vol.
27%
16°C
$382 Vol.
51%
17°C
$313 Vol.
16%
18°C
$141 Vol.
3%
19°C
$184 Vol.
2%
20°C
$10 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a fresher westerly airflow arriving across southern England, replacing the prior warm, humid air mass and supporting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible. This setup favors minimum temperatures near the 11–14 °C range for central London on 15 September, consistent with climatological averages around 11.6 °C yet tempered by the urban heat-island effect and lingering moisture that can limit the lowest readings. Trader consensus clustering at 15–16 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of clearing skies and potential model spread on boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on official Met Office observations at Heathrow or St James’s Park. Further model runs and the evening forecast update could refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour period close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,945Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a fresher westerly airflow arriving across southern England, replacing the prior warm, humid air mass and supporting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible. This setup favors minimum temperatures near the 11–14 °C range for central London on 15 September, consistent with climatological averages around 11.6 °C yet tempered by the urban heat-island effect and lingering moisture that can limit the lowest readings. Trader consensus clustering at 15–16 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of clearing skies and potential model spread on boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on official Met Office observations at Heathrow or St James’s Park. Further model runs and the evening forecast update could refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour period close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,945Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a fresher westerly airflow arriving across southern England, replacing the prior warm, humid air mass and supporting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible. This setup favors minimum temperatures near the 11–14 °C range for central London on 15 September, consistent with climatological averages around 11.6 °C yet tempered by the urban heat-island effect and lingering moisture that can limit the lowest readings. Trader consensus clustering at 15–16 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of clearing skies and potential model spread on boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on official Met Office observations at Heathrow or St James’s Park. Further model runs and the evening forecast update could refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour period close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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