Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for London on September 14, driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under high pressure. Hourly forecasts show temperatures holding in the 17–19°C range through the early morning hours before rising sharply, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent observations of above-average warmth across southern England. Traders have priced 18°C and 19°C as the clear leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90 percent because model runs remain tightly clustered with low dispersion, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could still nudge the recorded low by 1°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on September 14?
Lowest temperature in London on September 14?
18°C 54%
19°C 38%
17°C 8%
16°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
8%
18°C
54%
19°C
38%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 54%
19°C 38%
17°C 8%
16°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
$153 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$111 Vol.
1%
16°C
$241 Vol.
6%
17°C
$3,238 Vol.
8%
18°C
$997 Vol.
54%
19°C
$1,047 Vol.
38%
20°C
$70 Vol.
1%
21°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for London on September 14, driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under high pressure. Hourly forecasts show temperatures holding in the 17–19°C range through the early morning hours before rising sharply, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent observations of above-average warmth across southern England. Traders have priced 18°C and 19°C as the clear leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90 percent because model runs remain tightly clustered with low dispersion, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could still nudge the recorded low by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$6,099Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for London on September 14, driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under high pressure. Hourly forecasts show temperatures holding in the 17–19°C range through the early morning hours before rising sharply, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent observations of above-average warmth across southern England. Traders have priced 18°C and 19°C as the clear leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90 percent because model runs remain tightly clustered with low dispersion, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could still nudge the recorded low by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,099Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for London on September 14, driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under high pressure. Hourly forecasts show temperatures holding in the 17–19°C range through the early morning hours before rising sharply, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent observations of above-average warmth across southern England. Traders have priced 18°C and 19°C as the clear leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90 percent because model runs remain tightly clustered with low dispersion, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could still nudge the recorded low by 1°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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