Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a Monday maximum near 25 °C in London under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds and minimal rain risk. This places the outcome in a narrow band where modest variations in afternoon cloud breaks or urban heat effects could shift the recorded high between 23–27 °C, explaining the tightly clustered market probabilities. Ensemble runs show limited spread, yet small steering or insolation differences remain possible within the final 48-hour window. Updated hourly guidance and any late adjustments to the pressure gradient will be the key near-term drivers for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on September 14?
27°C or higher 35%
25°C 33%
26°C 33%
23°C 28%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
28%
24°C
18%
25°C
33%
26°C
33%
27°C or higher
35%
27°C or higher 35%
25°C 33%
26°C 33%
23°C 28%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
28%
24°C
18%
25°C
33%
26°C
33%
27°C or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a Monday maximum near 25 °C in London under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds and minimal rain risk. This places the outcome in a narrow band where modest variations in afternoon cloud breaks or urban heat effects could shift the recorded high between 23–27 °C, explaining the tightly clustered market probabilities. Ensemble runs show limited spread, yet small steering or insolation differences remain possible within the final 48-hour window. Updated hourly guidance and any late adjustments to the pressure gradient will be the key near-term drivers for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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