Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and maintaining elevated humidity, positioning 80-81°F as the dominant outcome for Miami’s June 14 low with 89% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance project typical mid-June nighttime minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological baselines around 77-79°F. Recent model runs show no signals of clearer skies, stronger onshore winds, or frontal passages that could push readings into the 76-77°F range (4.2% implied). Traders assign negligible odds below 76°F given persistent warm-water influence and absence of atypical cooling mechanisms, with final verification expected from official KMIA observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
80-81°F 87%
78-79°F 5%
76-77°F 4.2%
72-73°F <1%
$5,118 Vol.
$5,118 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
87%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 87%
78-79°F 5%
76-77°F 4.2%
72-73°F <1%
$5,118 Vol.
$5,118 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
$375 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$203 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$346 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$339 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$761 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$265 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$521 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$594 Vol.
87%
82-83°F
$789 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$610 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and maintaining elevated humidity, positioning 80-81°F as the dominant outcome for Miami’s June 14 low with 89% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance project typical mid-June nighttime minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological baselines around 77-79°F. Recent model runs show no signals of clearer skies, stronger onshore winds, or frontal passages that could push readings into the 76-77°F range (4.2% implied). Traders assign negligible odds below 76°F given persistent warm-water influence and absence of atypical cooling mechanisms, with final verification expected from official KMIA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$5,118Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and maintaining elevated humidity, positioning 80-81°F as the dominant outcome for Miami’s June 14 low with 89% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance project typical mid-June nighttime minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological baselines around 77-79°F. Recent model runs show no signals of clearer skies, stronger onshore winds, or frontal passages that could push readings into the 76-77°F range (4.2% implied). Traders assign negligible odds below 76°F given persistent warm-water influence and absence of atypical cooling mechanisms, with final verification expected from official KMIA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,118Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and maintaining elevated humidity, positioning 80-81°F as the dominant outcome for Miami’s June 14 low with 89% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance project typical mid-June nighttime minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological baselines around 77-79°F. Recent model runs show no signals of clearer skies, stronger onshore winds, or frontal passages that could push readings into the 76-77°F range (4.2% implied). Traders assign negligible odds below 76°F given persistent warm-water influence and absence of atypical cooling mechanisms, with final verification expected from official KMIA observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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