**Trader consensus around 76–79°F for the NYC daily minimum on August 9 reflects numerical weather model guidance showing overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s amid persistent warmth.** High dew points from elevated moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—due to partial cloud cover and possible thunderstorm remnants—prevent temperatures from dropping further, while light winds and the urban heat island effect at stations like LaGuardia sustain elevated readings. Recent model runs cluster outcomes near these levels, with small spreads arising from variations in timing of any clearing or boundary influences. Historical August averages near 70°F underscore the current warmer pattern, and traders weigh the narrow uncertainty window before resolution against typical forecast adjustments from agencies like NOAA.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 9?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 9?
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 36%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 36%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
65°F or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$10 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$10 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$17 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$31 Vol.
12%
76-77°F
$12 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$10 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$66 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$233 Vol.
5%
84°F or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 76–79°F for the NYC daily minimum on August 9 reflects numerical weather model guidance showing overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s amid persistent warmth.** High dew points from elevated moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—due to partial cloud cover and possible thunderstorm remnants—prevent temperatures from dropping further, while light winds and the urban heat island effect at stations like LaGuardia sustain elevated readings. Recent model runs cluster outcomes near these levels, with small spreads arising from variations in timing of any clearing or boundary influences. Historical August averages near 70°F underscore the current warmer pattern, and traders weigh the narrow uncertainty window before resolution against typical forecast adjustments from agencies like NOAA.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$409Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 76–79°F for the NYC daily minimum on August 9 reflects numerical weather model guidance showing overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s amid persistent warmth.** High dew points from elevated moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—due to partial cloud cover and possible thunderstorm remnants—prevent temperatures from dropping further, while light winds and the urban heat island effect at stations like LaGuardia sustain elevated readings. Recent model runs cluster outcomes near these levels, with small spreads arising from variations in timing of any clearing or boundary influences. Historical August averages near 70°F underscore the current warmer pattern, and traders weigh the narrow uncertainty window before resolution against typical forecast adjustments from agencies like NOAA.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$409Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around 76–79°F for the NYC daily minimum on August 9 reflects numerical weather model guidance showing overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s amid persistent warmth.** High dew points from elevated moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—due to partial cloud cover and possible thunderstorm remnants—prevent temperatures from dropping further, while light winds and the urban heat island effect at stations like LaGuardia sustain elevated readings. Recent model runs cluster outcomes near these levels, with small spreads arising from variations in timing of any clearing or boundary influences. Historical August averages near 70°F underscore the current warmer pattern, and traders weigh the narrow uncertainty window before resolution against typical forecast adjustments from agencies like NOAA.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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