Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking over Paris on June 18–19, with daytime highs reaching 36–37°C under clear skies and strong solar heating. This pattern supports an overnight minimum near 23°C on the 19th, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Warmer advection from southern air masses and limited cloud cover or precipitation reduce cooling potential, keeping the lowest reading likely between 22–24°C. Model consensus shows modest spread, with any increase in nocturnal cloudiness or wind potentially lowering the minimum toward 21–22°C, while drier conditions could hold it at or above 24°C. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on Paris-Le Bourget observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on June 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 19?
23°C 37%
22°C 25%
19°C or below 19%
24°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Jun 19, 2026
19°C or below
19%
20°C
7%
21°C
15%
22°C
23%
23°C
37%
24°C
19%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 37%
22°C 25%
19°C or below 19%
24°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Jun 19, 2026
19°C or below
$10 Vol.
19%
20°C
$16 Vol.
7%
21°C
$17 Vol.
15%
22°C
$14 Vol.
23%
23°C
$42 Vol.
37%
24°C
$56 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$77 Vol.
5%
28°C
$459 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking over Paris on June 18–19, with daytime highs reaching 36–37°C under clear skies and strong solar heating. This pattern supports an overnight minimum near 23°C on the 19th, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Warmer advection from southern air masses and limited cloud cover or precipitation reduce cooling potential, keeping the lowest reading likely between 22–24°C. Model consensus shows modest spread, with any increase in nocturnal cloudiness or wind potentially lowering the minimum toward 21–22°C, while drier conditions could hold it at or above 24°C. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on Paris-Le Bourget observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$675Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking over Paris on June 18–19, with daytime highs reaching 36–37°C under clear skies and strong solar heating. This pattern supports an overnight minimum near 23°C on the 19th, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Warmer advection from southern air masses and limited cloud cover or precipitation reduce cooling potential, keeping the lowest reading likely between 22–24°C. Model consensus shows modest spread, with any increase in nocturnal cloudiness or wind potentially lowering the minimum toward 21–22°C, while drier conditions could hold it at or above 24°C. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on Paris-Le Bourget observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$675Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking over Paris on June 18–19, with daytime highs reaching 36–37°C under clear skies and strong solar heating. This pattern supports an overnight minimum near 23°C on the 19th, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Warmer advection from southern air masses and limited cloud cover or precipitation reduce cooling potential, keeping the lowest reading likely between 22–24°C. Model consensus shows modest spread, with any increase in nocturnal cloudiness or wind potentially lowering the minimum toward 21–22°C, while drier conditions could hold it at or above 24°C. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on Paris-Le Bourget observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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