Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm southerly airflow dominating southern England through mid-June, supporting overnight minima near 17–18°C for London on June 19. Limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and modest wind speeds reduces the potential for sharper drops, while urban heat-island effects in central areas further anchor temperatures above seasonal climatological averages of 12–13°C. Ensemble spread remains modest but centers on this range, with small probabilities for 16°C or lower tied to any unexpected clearer interludes or northerly perturbations. Updated high-resolution forecasts and observational data from Heathrow and other London stations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on June 19?
18°C 33%
19°C 32%
14°C or below 28%
17°C 21%
14°C or below
28%
15°C
6%
16°C
17%
17°C
21%
18°C
33%
19°C
32%
20°C
5%
21°C
17%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 33%
19°C 32%
14°C or below 28%
17°C 21%
14°C or below
28%
15°C
6%
16°C
17%
17°C
21%
18°C
33%
19°C
32%
20°C
5%
21°C
17%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm southerly airflow dominating southern England through mid-June, supporting overnight minima near 17–18°C for London on June 19. Limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and modest wind speeds reduces the potential for sharper drops, while urban heat-island effects in central areas further anchor temperatures above seasonal climatological averages of 12–13°C. Ensemble spread remains modest but centers on this range, with small probabilities for 16°C or lower tied to any unexpected clearer interludes or northerly perturbations. Updated high-resolution forecasts and observational data from Heathrow and other London stations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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