**Trader consensus heavily favors a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11, 2026, at 97.9% implied probability, reflecting alignment with official forecasts.** The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models project a morning minimum of 16°C between 3–9 AM under partly cloudy to mostly sunny early-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 26–29°C. This sits squarely within the typical early-June climatological range for Seoul, where average overnight lows hover around 15–17°C amid rising but not yet peak monsoon humidity and moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative surprises expected, keeping temperatures from dipping lower. Historical analogs for early June confirm lows rarely fall below 14–15°C without a distinct frontal passage, which is absent here. The primary drivers locking in this outcome are the verified forecast guidance and absence of destabilizing atmospheric features. Scenarios that could realistically shift the result include an unforecasted nocturnal clear spell enhancing radiative cooling or a late-arriving weak front—both low-probability given current observations and model agreement. New KMA updates or real-time station readings remain the key near-term variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 11?
16°C 97.8%
15°C 1.6%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$31,182 Vol.
$31,182 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 97.8%
15°C 1.6%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$31,182 Vol.
$31,182 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
11°C or below
$557 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$571 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$845 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,078 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,550 Vol.
2%
16°C
$10,122 Vol.
98%
17°C
$1,984 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$10,966 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$772 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$454 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11, 2026, at 97.9% implied probability, reflecting alignment with official forecasts.** The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models project a morning minimum of 16°C between 3–9 AM under partly cloudy to mostly sunny early-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 26–29°C. This sits squarely within the typical early-June climatological range for Seoul, where average overnight lows hover around 15–17°C amid rising but not yet peak monsoon humidity and moderate radiative cooling overnight.
Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative surprises expected, keeping temperatures from dipping lower. Historical analogs for early June confirm lows rarely fall below 14–15°C without a distinct frontal passage, which is absent here.
The primary drivers locking in this outcome are the verified forecast guidance and absence of destabilizing atmospheric features. Scenarios that could realistically shift the result include an unforecasted nocturnal clear spell enhancing radiative cooling or a late-arriving weak front—both low-probability given current observations and model agreement. New KMA updates or real-time station readings remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$31,182Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11, 2026, at 97.9% implied probability, reflecting alignment with official forecasts.** The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models project a morning minimum of 16°C between 3–9 AM under partly cloudy to mostly sunny early-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 26–29°C. This sits squarely within the typical early-June climatological range for Seoul, where average overnight lows hover around 15–17°C amid rising but not yet peak monsoon humidity and moderate radiative cooling overnight.
Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative surprises expected, keeping temperatures from dipping lower. Historical analogs for early June confirm lows rarely fall below 14–15°C without a distinct frontal passage, which is absent here.
The primary drivers locking in this outcome are the verified forecast guidance and absence of destabilizing atmospheric features. Scenarios that could realistically shift the result include an unforecasted nocturnal clear spell enhancing radiative cooling or a late-arriving weak front—both low-probability given current observations and model agreement. New KMA updates or real-time station readings remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,182Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11, 2026, at 97.9% implied probability, reflecting alignment with official forecasts.** The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models project a morning minimum of 16°C between 3–9 AM under partly cloudy to mostly sunny early-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 26–29°C. This sits squarely within the typical early-June climatological range for Seoul, where average overnight lows hover around 15–17°C amid rising but not yet peak monsoon humidity and moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative surprises expected, keeping temperatures from dipping lower. Historical analogs for early June confirm lows rarely fall below 14–15°C without a distinct frontal passage, which is absent here. The primary drivers locking in this outcome are the verified forecast guidance and absence of destabilizing atmospheric features. Scenarios that could realistically shift the result include an unforecasted nocturnal clear spell enhancing radiative cooling or a late-arriving weak front—both low-probability given current observations and model agreement. New KMA updates or real-time station readings remain the key near-term variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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