Recent influx of cooler northerly air under a strengthening high-pressure system has driven daytime highs in Seoul and Incheon down 2–4 °C from recent peaks near 31 °C, with official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and model consensus pointing to an overnight low of 19–20 °C. Northeasterly winds of 7–11 kt, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 12–14 °C support moderate radiative cooling without significant further drop, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20 °C (69.5 % implied probability) and 19 °C (28 %). KMA station data through late afternoon on September 9 show temperatures already falling toward 21–22 °C, consistent with these thresholds; any deviation would require unexpected clear-sky intensification or wind shift before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
20°C 66%
19°C 32%
18°C 3%
17°C <1%
$19,614 Vol.
$19,614 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
32%
20°C
66%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 66%
19°C 32%
18°C 3%
17°C <1%
$19,614 Vol.
$19,614 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
32%
20°C
66%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent influx of cooler northerly air under a strengthening high-pressure system has driven daytime highs in Seoul and Incheon down 2–4 °C from recent peaks near 31 °C, with official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and model consensus pointing to an overnight low of 19–20 °C. Northeasterly winds of 7–11 kt, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 12–14 °C support moderate radiative cooling without significant further drop, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20 °C (69.5 % implied probability) and 19 °C (28 %). KMA station data through late afternoon on September 9 show temperatures already falling toward 21–22 °C, consistent with these thresholds; any deviation would require unexpected clear-sky intensification or wind shift before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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