Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service point to overnight minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 21 around the mid-20s Celsius, shaped by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate humidity and light winds favoring gradual radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment clusters around 21–25°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and upper-level stability can shift the exact low by 2–3°C, while historical August averages near 24–25°C provide a baseline. Model spreads in nocturnal boundary-layer forecasts create the observed probability clustering, with lower readings possible only under clearer, calmer conditions than currently expected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
21°C or below 79%
23°C 59%
22°C 58%
24°C 34%
21°C or below
79%
22°C
58%
23°C
59%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 79%
23°C 59%
22°C 58%
24°C 34%
21°C or below
79%
22°C
58%
23°C
59%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service point to overnight minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 21 around the mid-20s Celsius, shaped by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate humidity and light winds favoring gradual radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment clusters around 21–25°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and upper-level stability can shift the exact low by 2–3°C, while historical August averages near 24–25°C provide a baseline. Model spreads in nocturnal boundary-layer forecasts create the observed probability clustering, with lower readings possible only under clearer, calmer conditions than currently expected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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