Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,454 Vol.
$21,454 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,454 Vol.
$21,454 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
16°C or below
$713 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,896 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,143 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,449 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,107 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,400 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$3,586 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,454 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,055 Vol.
No
25°C
$350 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$300 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,454Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,454Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 14 will settle at 21 °C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition out of the rainy season, when typical daily lows range 19–22 °C, and recent model runs show minimal spread around that value. With official observations now confirming the threshold and little time remaining before market resolution, traders have converged on 21 °C at essentially 100 % implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge in cloud cover or a localized urban-heat-island anomaly could push the reading outside the implied band, though neither is supported by current data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan