Recent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight cooling under persistent cloud cover and northerly flow, positioning 21°C as the leading outcome for Tokyo’s September 9 low. Persistent rainfall and thunderstorms through the evening have suppressed daytime heat retention, while elevated humidity and reduced insolation during the seasonal transition further limit minimum temperatures. Model runs show limited variability around 20–22°C, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 21°C when similar frontal influences occur. Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and updated model guidance, with any shift in steering winds or clearing skies representing the main variables that could alter the final recorded low before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
19°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$9,745 Vol.
$9,745 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
37%
21°C
64%
22°C
49%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$9,745 Vol.
$9,745 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
$145 Vol.
2%
20°C
$674 Vol.
37%
21°C
$1,133 Vol.
64%
22°C
$656 Vol.
49%
23°C
$3,358 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,635 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$760 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$303 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$800 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight cooling under persistent cloud cover and northerly flow, positioning 21°C as the leading outcome for Tokyo’s September 9 low. Persistent rainfall and thunderstorms through the evening have suppressed daytime heat retention, while elevated humidity and reduced insolation during the seasonal transition further limit minimum temperatures. Model runs show limited variability around 20–22°C, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 21°C when similar frontal influences occur. Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and updated model guidance, with any shift in steering winds or clearing skies representing the main variables that could alter the final recorded low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$9,745Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight cooling under persistent cloud cover and northerly flow, positioning 21°C as the leading outcome for Tokyo’s September 9 low. Persistent rainfall and thunderstorms through the evening have suppressed daytime heat retention, while elevated humidity and reduced insolation during the seasonal transition further limit minimum temperatures. Model runs show limited variability around 20–22°C, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 21°C when similar frontal influences occur. Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and updated model guidance, with any shift in steering winds or clearing skies representing the main variables that could alter the final recorded low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,745Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight cooling under persistent cloud cover and northerly flow, positioning 21°C as the leading outcome for Tokyo’s September 9 low. Persistent rainfall and thunderstorms through the evening have suppressed daytime heat retention, while elevated humidity and reduced insolation during the seasonal transition further limit minimum temperatures. Model runs show limited variability around 20–22°C, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 21°C when similar frontal influences occur. Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and updated model guidance, with any shift in steering winds or clearing skies representing the main variables that could alter the final recorded low before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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