Forecast models from Environment Canada and others indicate clear skies over Toronto on August 21, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling that typically produces overnight lows near 16°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where the average minimum hovers around 15–16°C under similar high-pressure conditions. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 13–15°C outcomes because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island retention can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Persistent clear conditions and light winds support the clustered probabilities, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or advection of warmer air would push the low higher. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Toronto on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 21?
14°C 30%
15°C 30%
16°C 28%
12°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
24%
12°C
28%
13°C
29%
14°C
30%
15°C
30%
16°C
28%
17°C
27%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 30%
15°C 30%
16°C 28%
12°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
$110 Vol.
1%
10°C
$92 Vol.
1%
11°C
$47 Vol.
24%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$9 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
30%
15°C
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$82 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$262 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and others indicate clear skies over Toronto on August 21, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling that typically produces overnight lows near 16°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where the average minimum hovers around 15–16°C under similar high-pressure conditions. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 13–15°C outcomes because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island retention can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Persistent clear conditions and light winds support the clustered probabilities, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or advection of warmer air would push the low higher. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$602Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and others indicate clear skies over Toronto on August 21, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling that typically produces overnight lows near 16°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where the average minimum hovers around 15–16°C under similar high-pressure conditions. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 13–15°C outcomes because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island retention can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Persistent clear conditions and light winds support the clustered probabilities, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or advection of warmer air would push the low higher. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$602Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Environment Canada and others indicate clear skies over Toronto on August 21, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling that typically produces overnight lows near 16°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where the average minimum hovers around 15–16°C under similar high-pressure conditions. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 13–15°C outcomes because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island retention can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Persistent clear conditions and light winds support the clustered probabilities, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or advection of warmer air would push the low higher. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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