**Trader consensus heavily favors 13°C as the day's lowest temperature in Warsaw, driven by current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies like IMGW-PIB showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light southeasterly winds.** Hourly readings indicate temperatures dropping to 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours, with the minimum typically occurring near sunrise around 05:40 local time; high pressure and low humidity support efficient surface cooling consistent with late-August climatology. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance projecting a narrow range around 13–15°C rather than broader variability. Uncertainties remain from minor model disagreements on exact boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat island effects at the official station, which could shift the recorded low by 1°C if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen unexpectedly before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
13°C 98%
11°C 9%
10°C 7%
12°C 2%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
7%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 98%
11°C 9%
10°C 7%
12°C 2%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
7%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 13°C as the day's lowest temperature in Warsaw, driven by current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies like IMGW-PIB showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light southeasterly winds.** Hourly readings indicate temperatures dropping to 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours, with the minimum typically occurring near sunrise around 05:40 local time; high pressure and low humidity support efficient surface cooling consistent with late-August climatology. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance projecting a narrow range around 13–15°C rather than broader variability. Uncertainties remain from minor model disagreements on exact boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat island effects at the official station, which could shift the recorded low by 1°C if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen unexpectedly before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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