Recent MetService and NIWA forecasts for Wellington project an overnight minimum near 7–9 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 6–8 °C. Winter radiative cooling is moderated by marine influence and variable cloud cover that limits surface heat loss, while any brief showers or wind gusts can suppress the lowest readings by 1–2 °C through mixing. Seasonal outlooks note near- or below-average temperatures for the region, consistent with historical August lows of 6–8 °C; resolution hinges on the precise timing of clearing skies versus increasing wind before dawn, with updated model runs expected to refine these small but market-moving differences.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
4°C 34%
5°C 32%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
34%
5°C
32%
6°C
30%
7°C
38%
8°C
61%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
4°C 34%
5°C 32%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
2°C or below
$139 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$144 Vol.
34%
5°C
$144 Vol.
32%
6°C
$19 Vol.
30%
7°C
$30 Vol.
38%
8°C
$69 Vol.
61%
9°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
12°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and NIWA forecasts for Wellington project an overnight minimum near 7–9 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 6–8 °C. Winter radiative cooling is moderated by marine influence and variable cloud cover that limits surface heat loss, while any brief showers or wind gusts can suppress the lowest readings by 1–2 °C through mixing. Seasonal outlooks note near- or below-average temperatures for the region, consistent with historical August lows of 6–8 °C; resolution hinges on the precise timing of clearing skies versus increasing wind before dawn, with updated model runs expected to refine these small but market-moving differences.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,158Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and NIWA forecasts for Wellington project an overnight minimum near 7–9 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 6–8 °C. Winter radiative cooling is moderated by marine influence and variable cloud cover that limits surface heat loss, while any brief showers or wind gusts can suppress the lowest readings by 1–2 °C through mixing. Seasonal outlooks note near- or below-average temperatures for the region, consistent with historical August lows of 6–8 °C; resolution hinges on the precise timing of clearing skies versus increasing wind before dawn, with updated model runs expected to refine these small but market-moving differences.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,158Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and NIWA forecasts for Wellington project an overnight minimum near 7–9 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 6–8 °C. Winter radiative cooling is moderated by marine influence and variable cloud cover that limits surface heat loss, while any brief showers or wind gusts can suppress the lowest readings by 1–2 °C through mixing. Seasonal outlooks note near- or below-average temperatures for the region, consistent with historical August lows of 6–8 °C; resolution hinges on the precise timing of clearing skies versus increasing wind before dawn, with updated model runs expected to refine these small but market-moving differences.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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