Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former Mato Grosso governor who resigned his post to run, holds the strongest position in the 2026 Senate race for the state's two seats due to his high name recognition, established political network, and consistent leads in recent polls from Real Time Big Data and MT Dados. These surveys show him ahead on first-preference and consolidated votes, with Janaina Riva (MDB) close behind and candidates including Carlos Fávaro, Pedro Taques, and José Medeiros clustered further back. A Federal Police operation launched in recent weeks has introduced short-term uncertainty, as Mendes publicly attributes it to political opponents while affirming his campaign will continue. Traders price his 1st-place probability notably above the field, yet the multi-candidate field and ongoing polling volatility keep the contest competitive pending further voter-intention data before October.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMauro Mendes 57%
Fávaro 14%
Janaina Riva 11.8%
Pedro Taques 5%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Mauro Mendes
57%
Fávaro
14%
Janaina Riva
12%
Pedro Taques
5%
Galvan
5%
Jose Medeiros
5%
Margareth Buzetti
4%
Beny Godoy
3%
Coronel Darwin
2%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
2%
Mauro Mendes 57%
Fávaro 14%
Janaina Riva 11.8%
Pedro Taques 5%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Mauro Mendes
$2,978 Vol.
57%
Fávaro
$64 Vol.
14%
Janaina Riva
$63 Vol.
12%
Pedro Taques
$44 Vol.
5%
Galvan
$147 Vol.
5%
Jose Medeiros
$44 Vol.
5%
Margareth Buzetti
$44 Vol.
4%
Beny Godoy
$44 Vol.
3%
Coronel Darwin
$94 Vol.
2%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
$115 Vol.
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former Mato Grosso governor who resigned his post to run, holds the strongest position in the 2026 Senate race for the state's two seats due to his high name recognition, established political network, and consistent leads in recent polls from Real Time Big Data and MT Dados. These surveys show him ahead on first-preference and consolidated votes, with Janaina Riva (MDB) close behind and candidates including Carlos Fávaro, Pedro Taques, and José Medeiros clustered further back. A Federal Police operation launched in recent weeks has introduced short-term uncertainty, as Mendes publicly attributes it to political opponents while affirming his campaign will continue. Traders price his 1st-place probability notably above the field, yet the multi-candidate field and ongoing polling volatility keep the contest competitive pending further voter-intention data before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,634Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former Mato Grosso governor who resigned his post to run, holds the strongest position in the 2026 Senate race for the state's two seats due to his high name recognition, established political network, and consistent leads in recent polls from Real Time Big Data and MT Dados. These surveys show him ahead on first-preference and consolidated votes, with Janaina Riva (MDB) close behind and candidates including Carlos Fávaro, Pedro Taques, and José Medeiros clustered further back. A Federal Police operation launched in recent weeks has introduced short-term uncertainty, as Mendes publicly attributes it to political opponents while affirming his campaign will continue. Traders price his 1st-place probability notably above the field, yet the multi-candidate field and ongoing polling volatility keep the contest competitive pending further voter-intention data before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,634Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former Mato Grosso governor who resigned his post to run, holds the strongest position in the 2026 Senate race for the state's two seats due to his high name recognition, established political network, and consistent leads in recent polls from Real Time Big Data and MT Dados. These surveys show him ahead on first-preference and consolidated votes, with Janaina Riva (MDB) close behind and candidates including Carlos Fávaro, Pedro Taques, and José Medeiros clustered further back. A Federal Police operation launched in recent weeks has introduced short-term uncertainty, as Mendes publicly attributes it to political opponents while affirming his campaign will continue. Traders price his 1st-place probability notably above the field, yet the multi-candidate field and ongoing polling volatility keep the contest competitive pending further voter-intention data before October.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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