Early frontrunner Paul Giamatti in The Debut leads trader sentiment at 32.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early industry buzz and critical mentions positioning the A24 project as a awards contender. Multiple actors trail closely behind—including John Goodman, Sam Rockwell in Wild Horse Nine, and Jeremy Strong—with probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid single digits, reflecting a wide-open field typical of the supporting actor category before major festival premieres and guild screenings. Historical voting patterns favor established performers with strong reviews, though late 2026 releases and precursor results like critics’ circle nods could quickly shift momentum among the crowded slate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 33%
John Goodman 8%
Robert Pattinson 7.3%
Sam Rockwell 6.8%
$10,256 Vol.
$10,256 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
33%

John Goodman
8%

Robert Pattinson
7%

Sam Rockwell
7%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Miles Teller
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Edward Norton
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
2%

Adam Scott
2%

James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 33%
John Goodman 8%
Robert Pattinson 7.3%
Sam Rockwell 6.8%
$10,256 Vol.
$10,256 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
33%

John Goodman
8%

Robert Pattinson
7%

Sam Rockwell
7%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Miles Teller
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Edward Norton
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
2%

Adam Scott
2%

James Ortiz
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early frontrunner Paul Giamatti in The Debut leads trader sentiment at 32.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early industry buzz and critical mentions positioning the A24 project as a awards contender. Multiple actors trail closely behind—including John Goodman, Sam Rockwell in Wild Horse Nine, and Jeremy Strong—with probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid single digits, reflecting a wide-open field typical of the supporting actor category before major festival premieres and guild screenings. Historical voting patterns favor established performers with strong reviews, though late 2026 releases and precursor results like critics’ circle nods could quickly shift momentum among the crowded slate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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