Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois in a clear lead at roughly 30% support ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec clustered in the mid-20s and low-20s respectively. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada translate this francophone-heavy advantage into an expected PQ majority, sustaining trader consensus around 70% for a Parti Québécois win. The CAQ and PLQ retain slim paths through regional strength and late swings among non-francophone or undecided voters, while smaller parties remain marginal. No major leadership changes or legislative shocks have altered the trajectory in recent weeks, leaving the race centered on turnout patterns and the final consolidation of soft support.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Pemilihan Umum Quebec
Pemenang Pemilihan Umum Quebec
PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$762,340 Vol.
$762,340 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
71%
PLQ
15%
CAQ
15%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$762,340 Vol.
$762,340 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$82,900 Vol.
71%
PLQ
$102,381 Vol.
15%
CAQ
$109,138 Vol.
15%
PCQ
$208,807 Vol.
<1%
QS
$101,615 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois in a clear lead at roughly 30% support ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec clustered in the mid-20s and low-20s respectively. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada translate this francophone-heavy advantage into an expected PQ majority, sustaining trader consensus around 70% for a Parti Québécois win. The CAQ and PLQ retain slim paths through regional strength and late swings among non-francophone or undecided voters, while smaller parties remain marginal. No major leadership changes or legislative shocks have altered the trajectory in recent weeks, leaving the race centered on turnout patterns and the final consolidation of soft support.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$762,340Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois in a clear lead at roughly 30% support ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec clustered in the mid-20s and low-20s respectively. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada translate this francophone-heavy advantage into an expected PQ majority, sustaining trader consensus around 70% for a Parti Québécois win. The CAQ and PLQ retain slim paths through regional strength and late swings among non-francophone or undecided voters, while smaller parties remain marginal. No major leadership changes or legislative shocks have altered the trajectory in recent weeks, leaving the race centered on turnout patterns and the final consolidation of soft support.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$762,340Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages place the Parti Québécois in a clear lead at roughly 30% support ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec clustered in the mid-20s and low-20s respectively. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada translate this francophone-heavy advantage into an expected PQ majority, sustaining trader consensus around 70% for a Parti Québécois win. The CAQ and PLQ retain slim paths through regional strength and late swings among non-francophone or undecided voters, while smaller parties remain marginal. No major leadership changes or legislative shocks have altered the trajectory in recent weeks, leaving the race centered on turnout patterns and the final consolidation of soft support.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
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