Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral discussions between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva concluded in February 2026 without resolving core disputes over territory, security guarantees, or ceasefire terms. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy expressed dissatisfaction with the limited outcomes, while Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated in mid-April that resuming negotiations is not Moscow’s current priority. Ongoing battlefield advances by Russian forces in Donetsk and the absence of scheduled follow-up meetings have kept diplomatic momentum low. Traders assessing the likelihood of a bilateral or renewed Russia-Ukraine meeting therefore focus on these stalled dynamics, potential shifts in U.S. pressure ahead of any new round, and whether battlefield realities prompt one side to reengage before mid-year deadlines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$151,953 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
May 31
2%
June 30
28%
December 31
71%
$151,953 Vol.
May 31
$74,018 Vol.
2%
June 30
$28,217 Vol.
28%
December 31
$49,719 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral discussions between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva concluded in February 2026 without resolving core disputes over territory, security guarantees, or ceasefire terms. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy expressed dissatisfaction with the limited outcomes, while Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated in mid-April that resuming negotiations is not Moscow’s current priority. Ongoing battlefield advances by Russian forces in Donetsk and the absence of scheduled follow-up meetings have kept diplomatic momentum low. Traders assessing the likelihood of a bilateral or renewed Russia-Ukraine meeting therefore focus on these stalled dynamics, potential shifts in U.S. pressure ahead of any new round, and whether battlefield realities prompt one side to reengage before mid-year deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$151,953Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral discussions between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva concluded in February 2026 without resolving core disputes over territory, security guarantees, or ceasefire terms. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy expressed dissatisfaction with the limited outcomes, while Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated in mid-April that resuming negotiations is not Moscow’s current priority. Ongoing battlefield advances by Russian forces in Donetsk and the absence of scheduled follow-up meetings have kept diplomatic momentum low. Traders assessing the likelihood of a bilateral or renewed Russia-Ukraine meeting therefore focus on these stalled dynamics, potential shifts in U.S. pressure ahead of any new round, and whether battlefield realities prompt one side to reengage before mid-year deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$151,953Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral discussions between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva concluded in February 2026 without resolving core disputes over territory, security guarantees, or ceasefire terms. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy expressed dissatisfaction with the limited outcomes, while Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated in mid-April that resuming negotiations is not Moscow’s current priority. Ongoing battlefield advances by Russian forces in Donetsk and the absence of scheduled follow-up meetings have kept diplomatic momentum low. Traders assessing the likelihood of a bilateral or renewed Russia-Ukraine meeting therefore focus on these stalled dynamics, potential shifts in U.S. pressure ahead of any new round, and whether battlefield realities prompt one side to reengage before mid-year deadlines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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