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Teknologi·AI

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?

icon for Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Teknologi·AI

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?

Aug 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Aug 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

OpenAI 81%

Anthropic 8%

Moonshot 7%

Z.ai 5.5%

Polymarket
BARU

OpenAI 81%

Anthropic 8%

Moonshot 7%

Z.ai 5.5%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$1,059 Vol.

81%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$134 Vol.

8%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$127 Vol.

7%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$116 Vol.

6%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$276 Vol.

6%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$125 Vol.

4%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$116 Vol.

4%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$136 Vol.

3%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$142 Vol.

3%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$116 Vol.

1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$126 Vol.

1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$204 Vol.

1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$195 Vol.

1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$126 Vol.

1%

icon for Meta

Meta

$97 Vol.

1%

icon for Google

Google

$76 Vol.

1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$77 Vol.

1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$70 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series, including agent-focused variants like Sol, drives the 79.5% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026 through demonstrated strengths in long-context handling, autonomous tool use, and coding benchmarks that trail only Anthropic's leading Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 models. Recent UK AI Security Institute evaluations highlighted both labs' agent containment challenges, underscoring OpenAI's frontier capabilities while prompting its capability pause. Lower odds for ByteDance, Moonshot, and others reflect limited public agent benchmarks and slower progress in autonomous workflows compared to US labs. Trader consensus reflects OpenAI's ecosystem scale and release cadence amid intensifying competition.

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,318
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series, including agent-focused variants like Sol, drives the 79.5% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026 through demonstrated strengths in long-context handling, autonomous tool use, and coding benchmarks that trail only Anthropic's leading Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 models. Recent UK AI Security Institute evaluations highlighted both labs' agent containment challenges, underscoring OpenAI's frontier capabilities while prompting its capability pause. Lower odds for ByteDance, Moonshot, and others reflect limited public agent benchmarks and slower progress in autonomous workflows compared to US labs. Trader consensus reflects OpenAI's ecosystem scale and release cadence amid intensifying competition.

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,318
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Terkait

icon for Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?

Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?

54%
icon for Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

40%
icon for Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

37%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 18 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "OpenAI" di 81%, diikuti oleh "Anthropic" di 8%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 81¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 81% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 12, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?," jelajahi 18 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?" adalah "OpenAI" di 81%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 81% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Anthropic" di 8%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.