Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating holding near record lows around 36-37 percent amid persistent economic dissatisfaction and mixed reactions to the Iran conflict resolution. Weekly trader balance at even odds reflects competing signals from steady overall numbers in AP-NORC and Reuters/Ipsos surveys alongside new lows on economic handling in Marist and NPR polling, plus modest relief from falling gas prices after the tentative Iran agreement. Factors creating equilibrium include partisan polarization that limits broad shifts, limited movement in independent support, and uncertainty over whether foreign policy stabilization will offset cost-of-living pressures in the short term. Fresh polling releases, economic data releases, or further diplomatic announcements within the resolution window could quickly alter weekly momentum in either direction.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUp
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 26, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 21, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 26, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating holding near record lows around 36-37 percent amid persistent economic dissatisfaction and mixed reactions to the Iran conflict resolution. Weekly trader balance at even odds reflects competing signals from steady overall numbers in AP-NORC and Reuters/Ipsos surveys alongside new lows on economic handling in Marist and NPR polling, plus modest relief from falling gas prices after the tentative Iran agreement. Factors creating equilibrium include partisan polarization that limits broad shifts, limited movement in independent support, and uncertainty over whether foreign policy stabilization will offset cost-of-living pressures in the short term. Fresh polling releases, economic data releases, or further diplomatic announcements within the resolution window could quickly alter weekly momentum in either direction.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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