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Geopolitik·Israel

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Geopolitik·Israel

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

$336,093 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
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$336,093 Vol.

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This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains stalled across key holdout states amid persistent regional tensions and demands for Palestinian statehood. As of early 2026, 163 UN members already recognize Israel, with no new formal recognitions reported since the market opened in November 2025. Recent developments include a brief April 2026 cessation of hostilities along the Israel-Lebanon border that revived talks of eventual Lebanese recognition, alongside Syrian signals of openness to long-term negotiations on the Golan Heights. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any bilateral agreement on progress toward a Palestinian state, while public opinion in several Arab and Muslim-majority nations shows limited support for further Abraham Accords-style deals. With the June 30 resolution deadline approaching and no major breakthroughs in the past month, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for additional recognitions, though upcoming diplomatic initiatives could still shift dynamics before the cutoff.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$336,093
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains stalled across key holdout states amid persistent regional tensions and demands for Palestinian statehood. As of early 2026, 163 UN members already recognize Israel, with no new formal recognitions reported since the market opened in November 2025. Recent developments include a brief April 2026 cessation of hostilities along the Israel-Lebanon border that revived talks of eventual Lebanese recognition, alongside Syrian signals of openness to long-term negotiations on the Golan Heights. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any bilateral agreement on progress toward a Palestinian state, while public opinion in several Arab and Muslim-majority nations shows limited support for further Abraham Accords-style deals. With the June 30 resolution deadline approaching and no major breakthroughs in the past month, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for additional recognitions, though upcoming diplomatic initiatives could still shift dynamics before the cutoff.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$336,093
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 15 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Lebanon" di 6%, diikuti oleh "Syria" di 3%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 6¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 6% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $336.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 20, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?," jelajahi 15 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" adalah "Lebanon" di hanya 6%, dengan "Syria" mengejar ketat di 3%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.