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Politik·Israel

Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?

icon for Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?
Politik·Israel

Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$624,856 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$624,856 Vol.

Polymarket
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United States

$16,213 Vol.

8%

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Italia

$15,147 Vol.

14%

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Belanda

$49,466 Vol.

22%

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Japan

$39,821 Vol.

16%

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Germany

$66,145 Vol.

6%

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Belgia

$66,398 Vol.

23%

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Finlandia

$37,655 Vol.

15%

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Austria

$171,860 Vol.

4%

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Yunani

$45,092 Vol.

11%

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New Zealand

$117,060 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.No significant diplomatic recognitions of Palestinian statehood have occurred in the past seven months since September 2025, when 157 of 193 UN member states—over 81%—formally acknowledged the State of Palestine. That wave, timed to the 80th UN General Assembly, included major Western shifts by the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, France, Portugal, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Andorra, Monaco, and San Marino, building on earlier 2024-2025 moves amid the Gaza conflict and French-Saudi summits pushing a two-state solution. Holdouts like the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands tie recognition to Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. Traders should watch 2026 elections in key nations, UN sessions, and multilateral talks for potential catalysts before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$624,856
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.No significant diplomatic recognitions of Palestinian statehood have occurred in the past seven months since September 2025, when 157 of 193 UN member states—over 81%—formally acknowledged the State of Palestine. That wave, timed to the 80th UN General Assembly, included major Western shifts by the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, France, Portugal, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Andorra, Monaco, and San Marino, building on earlier 2024-2025 moves amid the Gaza conflict and French-Saudi summits pushing a two-state solution. Holdouts like the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands tie recognition to Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. Traders should watch 2026 elections in key nations, UN sessions, and multilateral talks for potential catalysts before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$624,856
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Belgia" di 23%, diikuti oleh "Belanda" di 22%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 23¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 23% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $624.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" adalah "Belgia" di 23%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 23% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Belanda" di 22%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.